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The key to the Keystone State for Obama is …

Oh my. Thursday, Quinnipiac released a series of “swing state” polls that showed how much danger Barack Obama faced in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida, even with the Republican Party fighting through...

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Another good-news-for-Newt poll: Gingrich hits 50 percent in Florida

Three’s too many to be a fluke. It’s apparently my turn to chronicle Newt Gingrich’s astronomical rise in the crucial swing state of Florida and his generally increasing popularity nationwide. Jazz...

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Rasmussen in OH: Romney 24, Santorum … 42

Oh my. While Rick Santorum courts the blue-collar vote in Michigan, he’s already looking forward to at least one Super Tuesday state — Ohio.  He has spent quite a bit of time in this Rust Belt swing...

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USA Today poll shows Obama trailing Romney and Santorum in swing states

ObamaCare an albatross. What happens when an incumbent running for re-election has a signature achievement in his first term that voters strongly dislike?  Barack Obama has that problem with ObamaCare...

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Rasmussen: Obama edging Romney, Santorum in Florida

Uh oh. Those who argue that the long slog of the Republican nomination race has hurt the chances to defeat Barack Obama will have new ammunition from Rasmussen’s poll of likely general-election voters...

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Poll: Boosted by women voters, Obama opens swing-state lead over Romney

Ladies… please With all the usual caveats about early polls in play, the generally reliably trending USA TODAY/Gallup Poll has seen a rather abrupt turn in the battleground states over the past month...

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Quotes of the day

Here we go. “That sound you hear? It’s the fat lady singing. “For the umpteenth time in the Republican presidential primary race, Mitt Romney defeated Rick Santorum in a major Midwestern swing state —...

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Will sex-harassment scandal in NC “doom” Democrats in 2012?

Not as much as their logo. The Democratic Party chose Charlotte, North Carolina to host its convention thanks to its new status as swing state, following Barack Obama’s narrow win there in 2008.  By...

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Arizona: Romney 42, Obama 40?

Toss-up? C’mon. Even I’m not this much of an eeyore. The poll found that the electorate is divided along party lines: 80 percent of Republicans said they would vote for Romney, 78 percent of Democrats...

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Choosing North Carolina a mistake?

“Simply put: North Carolina looks like a mess for Democrats.” When the Democratic National Committee chose North Carolina for its 2012 national convention, the decision made some sense.  Barack Obama...

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Virginia: Obama 51, Romney 43

Uh oh. Remember, according to WaPo’s back-of-the-envelope calculations, Romney’s probably looking at a ceiling of around 290 electoral votes — and that’s assuming he retakes Virginia and Colorado. If...

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Quinnipiac FL poll puts Romney up by 6, 47/41

Oh my. Time for another whodunit, or more accurately, whatdunit in this presidential election.  Two months ago, Quinnipiac gave Barack Obama a statistically significant if not entirely comfortable...

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PPP: Arizona not really going to be a swing state after all

“A little bit less intriguing…” No one really thought Barack Obama had a chance in Arizona, did they?  Not only does the state have a distinctly conservative electorate, it also has a rather strong...

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Romney: “Is he really that out of touch?”

“It’s an extraordinary miscalculation…” It didn’t take long for Mitt Romney to hit the hanging curve Barack Obama threw earlier today in his press conference.  Speaking in Iowa, a key swing state in...

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Election Day: Special election for Giffords House seat in AZ, primary in VA

Dry run for November? Two interesting elections will take place today, more than 2,000 miles apart.  One is a primary fight in a swing state, and the other a special election that will serve as a dry...

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A different look at swing state polling

Tight. Larry J. Sabato is correct that presidential polling in June is no better than a coin flip. Moreover, state-level polling at this point in the cycle remains noisy and not particularly useful....

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LeMieux drops out of FL primary

Why this man is smiling. The smoke has cleared in an important US Senate fight in a key swing state today, allowing Republicans an opportunity to focus on a potential takeaway in November.  George...

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Ag Secretary: Hey, the economy’s turned the corner!

“Obviously”? And the private sector is doing fine!  Barack Obama’s Secretary of Agriculture went on the campaign trail yesterday in the key swing state of Virginia, where he posed the eternal question...

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Obama’s panicky pander on immigration

Mission accomplished? The establishment media will tell you Obama’s new non-enforcement of immigration law is a political masterstroke. “It’s a trap!“ for Republicans, it is written. A flash poll...

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Video: Millions of Americans are suffering through an economic depression,...

Messaging. BuzzFeed’s getting linked for this at Drudge, but they’re not the ones who uploaded it to YouTube. Any guesses who did? Here’s a hint: This clip will be in near-constant rotation on your...

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